Ask Nash: Is it time to be a buyer or seller?

Nash —  June 29, 2012 — 9 Comments

Justin Morneau

Nash,

It’s the time of year when the big league teams start deciding if they should be buyers or sellers, what about us fantasy owners?

Phillip

 

Well Phillip, this really depends on your league, position in the standings and of course the difference in points.

For instance, if you are in a few leagues you should probably turn your primary focus on to one. Some guys have the capacity for multiple leagues, some do not. Clave for instance is dominating three leagues right now (all first places, and trust me he is making sure we all know it…)

Dixon is right up there in top five of our four leagues. I am starting to show signs of life in the leagues but am in sixth in a couple, fifth in one, and third in another.

And no, we are not out of work weirdoes that live with our mothers and only play fantasy sports and World of Warcraft. We just love fantasy baseball and multiple leagues don’t slow us down much across the board. Although the jury is still out on me at this point.

If I decide on just one or maybe two leagues to focus on you’d think the one where I am third would be a logical one to choose.  However that is not necessarily true. The point differentials in that league are going to be tougher to attack AND it is a 5×5 league, so there are fewer points to get. Also the league is a one-year league and it makes it VERY hard to be a buyer when guys have no keeper incentives.

Now, one is a head-to-head style league, which tends to be the easiest to make up ground in, depending on moves limits and standings. Right now I am the last seed in the playoffs and close enough to get the fourth pretty easily. So that one is one I would go after. Also it is a money league and of course I want to win money so I can take my wonderful fiancee out to a fancy dinner. Or buy a new golf club (don’t tell her I said that!)

With that said I will give you a few general keys to buying and selling. Selling is easier, so let’s start there:

If you are in a league that limits how many guys you can keep, then you need to get the best 3-5-7 (however many you can keep) as possible.

So let’s say you only can keep three guys and you have six guys that are pretty good keepers. You need to spin a few of the excess good ones to get three great keepers:

You have Shin-Soo Choo, Tommy Hanson, Jimmy Rollins, Ben Zobrist, Jordan Zimmermann and Paul Konerko.

Try to find a team that has a lesser player at one of those positions, maybe they have Dee Gordon at SS but Madison Bumgarner as a pitcher. Send them Rollins and Hanson for Bum and Gordon. Bumgarner is a rising Ace and will be a VERY sweet keeper.

Selling is also nice if your league has a keeper years max.  If you have guys that you cannot keep next year, there’s no use in holding on to them until the end of the season if you are selling.

Buying can be a little tricky because you need to find a seller, and most guys at this point of the season don’t want to admit they are out of the running to win. Once you find a seller though, make sure you maximize your trade because you may only get one.

The best friend of a buyer is a keeper year max, because then you can go after “rentals” and you may be able to score big to make a run. Say a bottom tier team has a struggling star like Adrian Gonzalez, who also can’t be kept next year. Perhaps you have Nelson Cruz as a guy that you won’t keep because you have better keepers. Maybe you can swing Cruz for Gonzo and if Gonzo finds his groove you could be competing until the very end!

Of course there is the chance that Gonzo doesn’t figure things out this year, much like Carl Crawford last year. Buying is a high-risk, high-reward scenario.

Phillip, I hope this was helpful. Actually I think we may just have to go more in depth into buying and selling as trade deadlines approach!

Thanks again for the great question.

Nash

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Nash is an avid sports fan who hails from the East Bay Area and now lives in the great Midwest. Nash has been playing fantasy sports for years, his favorite being fantasy baseball. Probably because it remains the only fantasy sport in which he has not won a league championship...yet.
  • http://fantasybaseballcrackerjacks.com Clave

    Hey, did you guys realize I am first in all 3 leagues? Not sure if you knew that or not.

    • http://fantasybaseballcrackerjacks.com Dixon

      The Kemp injury is hurting me in Tunacorn, although I am doing a good job staying afloat. In 401, you may consider me lying in the weeds.

  • http://fantasybaseballcrackerjacks.com Clave

    That photo of Morneau is sweet btw.

  • joe

    WWhat if i am in a NON keeper lg, i am in a ROTO lg were I am not making What’re progress I gain 2 pts one day lose 2 pts the next, gain 1 pt then lose 1.5 pts, I have been middle of the pack all yr so how can I make some progress?

    Most of the guys on my team contribute across the board, guys like Zobrist, Youmg, Sandoval, I have Dunn who is my big HR guy but other than that no real big hitter any suggestions?

    • Nash

      Yeah, that happens in Roto a lot, give me the rundown of your team, league size and categories again and we can figure out a move?

  • joe

    My lg is

  • joe

    My lg is a 12 team 6×6 . Holds and Obp being the 6th pitching and hitting cats

    My lineup is
    C- Santana
    1b – I. Davis
    2b – Zobrist / Young
    SS – Y. Betancourt / S. Drew
    3b – Sandoval
    OF – Trout
    OF- Dunn
    OF – Zobrist / M.Saunders
    Util – Young/ Saunders

    SP. Wainwright, Moore, Wandy, Harrison, Buehrle, Milone, Lohse
    RP- Marmol, Hanrahan, Lyon, Padilla

  • Nash

    Ok, and what is the free agent market looking like and any thing to note from the trade block?

  • joe

    As far as free agents go the best avaiable guys would be
    Weeks ( both Jamile and Rickie ) Ibanez, Hunter, Markakis, Brantley, C.Davis,
    Morrison,
    - as far as the trade block a couple teams are looking for a Catcher which I would deal Santana but I wasnt offered anything I couldnt pass up, I was offered J.Bruce for Santana early in the yr but I passed it up.
    Most of the teams looking to deal are looking for SP’s and OF’s and I am not deep at either position so Ibwas hesitant to deal either
    - thanks again